Expectation of future Dearness Allowance from January, 2013 after 1
points jump in CPI-IW for the month of November, 2012 giving confirm
expectation for DA 80% means an increase of 8% as the Dearness
Allowance has been announced 72%
from July, 2013. All India Consumer Price Index Number
[http://labourbureau.nic.in/indtab.html] for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW)
on base 2001=100 for November, 2012 showing increase in 1 point and stood at 218 (Two hundred and eighteen). The different expectations of DA from January, 2013 are illustrated below:-
If it is expected from 1 to 3 points increase in this index for December, 2012 the Dearness Allowance for Central Government Employee will confirm 80% in January, 2013:
Expect-ation
|
Increase/ Decrease Index
|
Month
|
Base Year 2001 = 100
|
Total of 12 Months
|
Twelve monthly Average
|
% increase over 115.76 for DA
|
DA announced or will be announced
|
Jul-12
|
212
|
2414
|
201.17
|
73.78%
|
72%
|
||
2
|
Aug-12
|
214
|
2434
|
202.83
|
75.22%
|
80%
|
|
1
|
Sep-12
|
215
|
2452
|
204.33
|
76.51%
|
||
2
|
Oct-12
|
217
|
2471
|
205.92
|
77.88%
|
||
1
|
Nov-12
|
218
|
2490
|
207.50
|
79.25%
|
||
1st
|
1
|
Dec-12
|
219
|
2512
|
209.33
|
80.83%
|
|
2nd
|
2
|
Dec-12
|
220
|
2513
|
209.42
|
80.91%
|
80%
|
3rd
|
3
|
Dec-12
|
221
|
2514
|
209.50
|
80.98%
|
80%
|
4th
|
4
|
Dec-12
|
222
|
2515
|
209.58
|
81.05%
|
81%
|
5th
|
-1
|
Dec-12
|
217
|
2510
|
209.17
|
80.69%
|
80%
|
6th
|
-2
|
Dec-12
|
216
|
2509
|
209.08
|
80.62%
|
80%
|
7th
|
-3
|
Dec-12
|
215
|
2508
|
209.00
|
80.55%
|
80%
|
8th
|
-4
|
Dec-12
|
214
|
2507
|
208.92
|
80.47%
|
80%
|
Hence, it is clear that expectation of increase in DA from January, 2013 will not cross 80%.
DOWNLOAD: EXCEL FILE FOR EXPECTED DEARNESS CALCULATION TO CALCULATE YOURSELF [click on File-Menu & download]
PIB Release:
Ministry of Labour & Employment 31-December, 2012 17:18 IST
Consumer Price Index Numbers for Industrial Workers (CPI-IW) November 2013
The All-India CPI-IW for November, 2012 rose by 1 point and pegged at
218 (two hundred and eighteen). On 1-month percentage change, it
increased by 0.46 per cent between October and November compared with
0.51 per cent between the same two months a year ago.
The largest upward contribution to the change in current index came from
food items which increased by 0.86 per cent, contributing 1.01
percentage points to the total change. At item level, largest upward
pressure came from Rice, Wheat Atta, Goat Meat, Milk, Onion, Potato, Tea (readymade), Snack Saltish, etc. The other items like Cooking Gas, Medicine (Allopathic), Bus Fare, Auto Rickshaw Fare, Flower/Flower Garlands, Tailoring Charges, etc. also put upward pressure in total change.
The largest downward contribution to the change in current index came
from Pulses and Products with a decline of 0.38 per cent, contributing
(-) 0.03 percentage points to the total change. However, at item level,
vegetable & fruit items like Cauliflower, Radish, Palak, Brinjal and Orange put downward pressure on the index.
The year-on-year inflation measured by monthly CPI-IW stood at 9.55 per
cent for November, 2012 as compared to 9.60 per cent for the previous
month and 9.34 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous
year. Similarly, the Food inflation stood at 10.85 per cent against 9.91
per cent of the previous month and 7.61 per cent during the
corresponding month of the previous year.
At centre level, Mysore recorded the largest increase of 7 points
followed by Vijaywada (6 points) and Guntur, Tiruchirapally, Coimbatore
and Bengluru (5 points each). Among others, 4 points rise was registered
in 7 centres, 3 points in 10 centres, 2 points in 6 centres and 1 point in 20 centres. Nagpur centre reported a decline of 2 points and other 9 centres registered a fall of 1 point each. Rest of the 19 centres’ indices remained stationary.
The indices of 41 centres are above All-India Index and other 36 centres’ indices are below national average. Puducherry’s index remained at par with all-India index.
The next index of CPI-IW for the month of December, 2012 will be released on Thursday, January 31, 2012.